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Indian Statistical / Economic Services

01. Candidates to Ensure their eligibility for the examination:

Candidates applying for the examination should ensure that they fulfill all eligibility conditions for admission to the Examination. Their admission at all the stages of the examination will be purely provisional subject to satisfying the prescribed eligibility conditions.

Mere issue of e-Admit Card to the candidate will not imply that his/her candidature has been finally cleared by the Commission.

Verification of eligibility conditions with reference to original documents is taken up only after the candidate has qualified for Interview/Personality Test.

02. How to Apply

Candidates are required to apply online only by using the website www.upsconline.nic.in Brief instructions for filling up the online Application Form have been given in Appendix-II. Detailed instructions are available on the above mentioned website.

03. Last Date for Submission of Application

The Online Applications can be filled up to 12th February, 2016 till 11.59 pm, after which the link will be disabled.

4(a) On-line application forms for IES/ISS Examination, 2016 will be uploaded on the Commission’s Website from 16.01.2016. The date of closing of online application is 12.02.2016. Candidates are requested to fill up and submit the Part-1 and Part II of their online application forms before the closing date of the application. Once the candidate successfully submits Part-1 and Part II of their online applications, they would receive an auto generated email about the successful submission of their online application forms.

Candidates may note that e-Admit cards will be uploaded on the Commissions web-site on 07.03.2016. The e-Admit cards will be available for downloading by the candidates till 04.04.2016. Only those candidates who would download their e-Admit Cards on or before 04.04.2016 will be allowed to appear for the IES/ISS Examination.

“Candidates may note that downloading of e-Admit Cards by the candidates on the Commission’s website will not be available after 04.04.2016 and no request for issue of e-Admit Cards from the candidates under any circumstances will be entertained by the Commission after 04.04.2016.

4(b) E-Admit Cards will be made available on the UPSC Website www.upsc.gov.in for downloading by the candidates with effect from 07.03.2016 till 04.04.2016 (11.59 P.M.). No physical Admit Cards will be send by post. All the applicants are required to provide valid and active email id and mobile numbers while filling up online application forms as the Commission will be using electronic mode for communication.

4 (c) The candidates may note that mere issue of e-Admit Cards shall not imply that his/her candidature has been finally cleared by the Commission and the admission of the candidate to the examination will remain purely provisional subject to satisfying the prescribed eligibility conditions required to be filled up by the candidates.

05. Special Instruction

Candidates are advised to read carefully “Special Instructions to the Candidates for Conventional Type Tests” (Appendix-III).

06. Penality for wrong answer (In Objective Type Question Paper):

Candidates should note that there will be penalty (Negative Marking) for wrong answers marked by a candidate in the Objective Type Question Paper.

07. Instruction for filling up for Our Sheets:

a) For both writing and marking answers in the OMR Sheets (Answer Sheet) candidates must use black ball point pen only. Pens with any other colours are prohibited. Do not use Pencil or Ink pen. Candidates are further advised to read Special Instructions contained in Appendix-IV of the Notice.

b) Candidates should note that any omission/mistake/discrepancy in encoding/filling in details in the OMR answer sheet; especially with regard to Roll Number and Test Booklet Series Code, will render the answer sheet liable for rejection.

08. Facilitation counter for Guidance of Candidates:

In case of any guidance/information/clarification regarding their applications, candidature etc. candidates can contact UPSC’s Facilitation Counter near ‘C’ Gate of its campus in person or over Telephone No.011-23385271/ 011-23381125/011-23098543 on working days between 10.00 Hrs. and 17.00 Hrs.

09. Mobile Phones Banned :

(a) Mobile phones, pagers, bluetooth or any other communication devices are not allowed inside the premises where the examination is being conducted. Any infringement of these instructions shall entail disciplinary action including ban from future examinations.

(b) Candidates are advised in their own interest not to bring any of the banned items including mobile phones/pagers/bluetooth or any valuable/costly items to the venue of the examination, as arrangement for safe-keeping cannot be assured. Commission will not be responsible for any loss in this regard.

Candidates are required to Apply online at www.upsconline.nic.in only. No other mode is allowed for submission of Application

“Government strives to have a workforce which reflects gender balance and women candidates are encouraged to apply”.

No.12/5/2015-E.I(B) : A combined competitive examination for recruitment to Junior Time Scale of the Services mentioned in Para 2 below will be held by the Union Public Service Commission commencing from 13rd May, 2016 in accordance with the Rules published by the Ministry of Statistics & Programme Implementation in the Gazette of India dated the 16th January, 2016. The examination will be held at the following centres :-

  • AHMEDABAD
  • JAIPUR
  • ALLAHABAD
  • JAMMU
  • BENGALURU
  • KOLKATA
  • BHOPAL
  • LUCKNOW
  • CHANDIGARH
  • MUMBAI
  • CHENNAI
  • PATNA
  • CUTTAK
  • SHILLONG
  • DELHI
  • SHIMLA
  • DISPUR
  • THIRUVANANTHAPURAM
  • HYDERABAD

The centres and the date of holding the examination as mentioned above are liable to be changed at the discretion of the Commission. Applicants should note that there will be a ceiling on the number of candidates allotted to each of the Centres, except Chennai, Delhi, Dispur, Kolkata and Ahmedabad. Allotment of Centres will be on the “first-apply-first allot” basis, and once the capacity of a particular Centre is attained, the same will be frozen. Applicants, who cannot get a Centre of their Choice due to ceiling, will be required to choose a Centre from the remaining ones. Applicants are, thus, advised that they may apply early so that they may apply early so that they could get a Centre of their choice.

NB : Notwithstanding the aforesaid provision, Commission reserve the right to change the Centres at their discretion if the situation demands.

Statistics - II

1. Linear models
Theory of linear estimation. Gauss - Markoff setup. Least square estimators. Use of g inverse. Analysis of one way classified data-fixed. Maxed and random effect models.tests for regression coefficients.

2. Estimation
Characteristics of good estimator, estimation methods of maximum likelihood, minimum Chisquare, moments and tests square. Optimal properties of maximum likelihood estimators. Minimum variance unbiasedestimators. Minimum variance bound estimators. Cramer –Rao inequality. Bhattacharya bounds. Sufficient estimator. Factorisation thermo. Complete statistics. Rao-Blackwell theorem. Confidence interval estimation. Optimum confidence bounds. Resampling bootstrap and jacknife.

3. Hypotheses testing and statistical quality control

(a) Hypotheses testing – simple and composite hypothesis. Two kinds of error. Critical region. Different types of critical regions and similar regions. Power function. Most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests. Neyman-pearson fundamental lemma. Unbiased test. Randomised test.likelihood ratio test. Wald’s SPRT, OC and ASN functions. Elements of decision and game theory.

(b) Statistical Quality control – control charts for variable and attributes. Acceptance samplingby attributes-single, double, multiple and sequential sampling plans; concepts of AOOQLL and ATI; Acceptance sampling by variables-use of Dodge-Romig and other tables.

4. Multivariate Analysis
Multivariate normal distribution.Estimation of mean vector and con variance matrix.
Distribution of hoteling’s T2 statistic, Mahalanobis’s D-2 and their use in testing. Partial and multiple correlation coefficientsin samples from a multivariate normal population. Wishart’s distribution, its reproductive and other properties.Wilk’s criterion. Discriminant function. Principal components. Canonical variates and correlations.

Statistics - III

1. Sampling techniques
Census versus sample survey, pilot and large scale sample surveys. Role of NSS organisation. Simple random sampling with and without replacement. Stratified sampling and sample allocations. Cos and variance functions, ratio and regression methods of estimation. Sampling with probability proportional to size.Cluster, double, multiphase, multistage and systematic sampling.Interpenetrating sub-sampling. Non-sampling errors.

2. Design and analysis of experiments
Principles of design of experiments. Layout and analysis of completely randomised, randomised block and Latin square designs. Factorial experiments and confounding in 2n and 3n experiments. Split-plot and strip-plotdesigns. construction and analysis of balanced and partially balanced incomplete block designs. Analysis of covariance.Analysis of non-orthogonal data.Analysis of missing and mixed plot date.

3. Economic statics
Components of time series. Methods of their determination-variate difference method. Yule-slutsky effect. Correlogram. Autoregressive models of first and second order. Periodogram analysis. Index number of prices and quantities and their relative merits. Construction of index number of wholesale and consumer prices. Income distribution-pareto and Engel curves. Concentration curve. Methods of estimating national income. Intersectoral flows. Inter –industry table role of CSO.

4. Econometrics
Theory and analysis of consumer demand-specification and estimation of demand functions. Demand elasticities. Structure and model estimation of parameters in single equation model-classical least squares, generalised least-square, heteroscedasticity, serial correlation, multi-cotltnearlty, errors in variable model, simultaneous equation models-identification, rank and other conditions. Indirect least square and two stage least square. Short-term economic forecasting.

Statistics - IV

1. Stochastic processes
Specifications of a stochastic process, Markov chains, classification of states, limiting probabilities, stationary distribution, random walk and gambler’s ruin problem, poisson process. Birth and death process, applications to queues-M/M/I and M/M/C models. Branching process.

2. Operations research
Elements of linear programming.Simplex procedure.Principle of duality.Transport and assignment problems.Single and multi-period inventory control models.ABC analysis.General simulation problems. Replacement models for items that fail and or items that deteriorate.

3. Demography and vital statistics
The life table, its constitution and properties, Makehams andGompertz Curves. National life tables.UN model life tables. Abridged life tables.Stable and stationary populations.Different birth rates. Total fertility rate. Gross and net reproduction rates.Different mortality rates.Standardised death rate.Internal and international migration; net migration .international and postcensal estimates.projectionmethod including logistic cure fitting. Decennial census in India.

4. Computer Application and data Processing

(a) Computer application

  • Computer system concepts: - Computer system components and function. The central processing unit, main memory, bit, byte, word input/output devices, speeds and memory capacities in computer systems.
  • Software concepts: - Over view of operating systems, types and functionof operating system. Application software.Software for multi-tasking, multi-programing, batch processing mode. Time sharing mode, concept of system support programme, overview of existing software packages on word processing and spread sheets.
  • Overview of an application specific programme: - Flow charts, basics of Algorithm, fundamental of design and analysis of algorithm; basics of date structure, queue, stack.

(b) Data processing

  • Date processing: - Digitalnumber system, number conversions. Binary representation of integers. Binary representation of real numbers, logical data element like character, fields, records, files, fundamentals of data transmission and processing including error control and error processing.
  • Data base management: - Data resource management. Data base and file organisation and processing.
  • (a) Direct

  • (b) Sequential

  • (c) Indexed Sequential file. Concepts of client server architecture, data base administrator. An overview of DBMS software